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When cross-country interest rate differentials exceed an estimated threshold band, the differential will exhibit a stationary mean-reverting behavior toward the band, while wandering as a non-stationary random walk when the interest rate differential lies within the threshold bands. Turning to detailed results for individual countries, the equations for Sweden show that the stock price, interest rate differential between lending and deposit rates, and wage inflation are significant determinants of inflation, significant at the 10% level. Some market participants suggested that the expectation for potential narrowing of the interest rate differential between the United States and the euro area supported the euro against the dollar. |
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