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The increase of just 5 percent in hurricane intensity predicted by Knutson and Tuleya led many researchers to suggest that the variability attributable to E1 Nino or the North Atlantic Oscillation would dwarf any change resulting from global warming, at least for the next few decades. When the index is calculated and presented by month or by week, there may be a greater likelihood of presenting a relationship with other indices, specifically, ENSO, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation or the Arctic Oscillation. : a long-term precipitation cycle, the warm phase of the Southern Oscillation Index (El Nino), and the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation pattern. |
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