These data were obtained from the RCP simulation experiments for CMIP5 and MAGICC models.
In addition to CMIP5 ESMs, we also make use of the MAGICC scenario database.
The results from MAGICC were well aligned with the CMIP5 results for the RCP pathways.
For the unconditional INDC pledges (Figure 4(a)), the global mean temperature change in 2030 is projected to be 0.57[degrees]C (median) above the 2012 baseline for the CMIP5 simulations and 0.56[degrees]C (median) for the MAGICC simulations.
An integrated framework to address climate change (ESCAPE) and further developments of the global and regional climate modules (MAGICC
is a Model for Assessment of Greenhouse-Gas Induced Climate Change consisting of a set of interrelated simple models.
As derived from the MAGICC model shown in Figure 4, base case warming in 2100 (from 1990) is projected to be from 2.2 to 4.7[degrees]C (with 3.2[degrees]C as the best guess), yielding potentially severe impacts, especially in the middle and upper end of this uncertainty range.
Figures 6 and 7 depict results of a large number of MAGICC cases, indicating annual emission reductions required to meet this warming goal, along with corresponding C[O.sub.2] concentration estimates.
(26) This highlights the magnitude of the uncertainties in our current models, of which MAGICC is representative.
Using a Climate scenario generator for Vulnerability and Adaptation Assesmenst: MAGICC
and SCENGEEN Version 2.4 Workbook.
provides tools - mapping, offender images, communication, scheduling and decision support capabilities - for the parole officers.
Many of them use MAGICC
to represent the physical climate (see online supplement).