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During January 1, 1998-December 31, 2016, a total of 13,234 clinically suspected plague cases were reported to the PNCP. Of these cases, 3,628 (27%) were classified as confirmed and 2,191 (17%) as presumptive (Figures 1, 2); the confirmation rate improved gradually over time (Figure 2).
To predict PNCP, we first have to predict reliabilities of individual atomic processes.