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Randox Health Grand National 5.15 Aintree Key trends VVAGED eight to 11,10/10 VVWON over at least 3m, 9/10 VVOFFICIALLY rated 137-157, 9/10 VVBETWEEN three and six runs since the start of August, 9/10 VVAT least one top-three finish in last three runs, 9/10 VVFINISHED in the first three in a race over at least 3m2f, 9/10 VVWON chase worth at least PS29,000, 8/10 VVNO more than one win that season, 7/10 VVACHIEVED best RPR within previous 12 months last time out, 7/10 VVCARRIED no more than 11st, 7/10 vv10-14 runs over fences, 7/10 (all exceptions had between 23-27 chase starts) Other factors The handicapper has done a fine job in giving a chance to those at the top of the weights, with three of the last ten winners carrying 11st 5lb-11st 9lb.
Arkle Finance Cheshire Oaks 2.40 Chester Key trends VVAT least one run as a three-year-old, ten winners in last ten runnings VVTOP-three finish last time out, 10/10 VVBY a sire with a stamina index of 9.8f-plus, 9/10 VVSTARTED the season as a maiden, 9/10 (two were still maidens going into the race) VVADJUSTED Racing Post Rating of at least 99, 7/10 VVRATED within 11lb of RPR top-rated, 6/10 Other factors Light Shift in 2007 was the only one of the last ten winners successful as a juvenile (winner of a backend mile maiden at Newmarket).
vvAt Taunton, Present Man was beaten after touching 2.22 or shorter for the fourth race in a row when he couldn't get past 7-2 winner Minellacelebration having traded at a low of 1.5.
VVAT Naas, Ball D'Arc paid a handsome compliment to Min by landing his second success since his 11-length drubbing by the Supreme Novices' Hurdle favourite.
vvAt Leicester, Gallic Warrior hit 1.2 in the opening 2m handicap chase but faded into third.
vvAt Wetherby, Walking In The Air could not finish the job in the novice hurdle after hitting 1.24.
Staking plan J Walker 2pts each-way 18-1 general JB Holmes 1.5pts each-way 28-1 Sky Bet K Na 1pt each-way 40-1 general F Jacobson 1pt each-way 80-1 Sky Bet Ian Wilkerson STATS THAT MATTER 11/11 vvThe last 11 winners have all been American vvAt least two players priced in three figures at the outset have made the top five every year since 2003 with the exception of 2014 vvDustin Johnson has won the tournament twice and finished in the places three times vvTen of the last 13 winners finished in the top 20 of their previous US Tour event
vvAt Southwell La Estrella set a new all-weather record of 27 wins when taking the opener.
Ryanair Hurdle 2.30 Leopardstown Key trends VVTOP-three finish last time, 10/10 VVPREVIOUS Grade 1 hurdle winner, 10/10 VVAT least nine hurdle runs, 9/10 VVRATED within 5lb of RPR top-rated, 9/10 VVADJUSTED RPR of at least 165, 9/10 VVPREVIOUS course winner, 8/10 Other factors Six of the last ten scorers ran in the Morgiana Hurdle, finishing 131111.
vvAt Chepstow 8-11 favourite Champagne At Tara looked certain to win when running all over Maxanisi coming to the last.
BIG-RACE TRENDS Kevin Morley Key trends VVWON a Class 1 or 2 chase, ten winners in last ten runnings VVAGED six to eight, 9/10 VVAT least one top-three finish in last two starts, 9/10 VVRECORDED a pre-race Racing Post Rating of at least 151, 9/10 VVHAD won a chase over at least 3m, 8/10 VVHAD between three and 12 chase runs, 8/10 VVRATED 145-156, 7/10 (the three exceptions were rated higher) Other factors Light weights used to be favoured, but eight of the last ten winners carried at least 11st 1lb.
vvAt Carlisle Encantar defied a high of 34 when getting up late to beat the 1.11-traded Bochart in the nursery.
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- VV Cephei stars
- VV Giri National Labour Institute
- VV LL